Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.883334 4.160226 4.455757 4.796134 5.179211 5.599227 6.097618
2025-06-29 3.362003 3.734760 4.156645 4.675025 5.302697 6.048791 7.019604
2025-07-06 3.050941 3.469320 3.961421 4.593347 5.399374 6.417047 7.841400
2025-07-13 2.848611 3.298470 3.843849 4.569616 5.536419 6.822613 8.746180
2025-07-20 2.733539 3.217264 3.820076 4.649387 5.801109 7.414967 10.000771
2025-07-27 2.645971 3.159549 3.815552 4.745937 6.089643 8.070080 11.474156
2025-08-03 2.537880 3.065270 3.752292 4.751052 6.241250 8.534804 12.733230
2025-08-10 2.415948 2.943762 3.641896 4.676752 6.261686 8.789607 13.673207
2025-08-17 2.292604 2.812791 3.509160 4.557551 6.197580 8.891745 14.342020
2025-08-24 2.199230 2.717143 3.419009 4.492701 6.209855 9.120790 15.315611
2025-08-31 2.148118 2.676266 3.402625 4.535621 6.397871 9.682947 17.155824
2025-09-07 2.094669 2.628995 3.373522 4.555350 6.547052 10.194000 19.049073
2025-09-14 1.989416 2.506941 3.233233 4.397300 6.386681 10.107583 19.496037
2025-09-21 1.908305 2.416413 3.135689 4.302163 6.330273 10.225751 20.552865
2025-09-28 1.840072 2.341242 3.056840 4.231142 6.308849 10.410598 21.873891
2025-10-05 1.789932 2.289938 3.010942 4.210326 6.376094 10.793438 23.970344
2025-10-12 1.766104 2.275620 3.019871 4.280429 6.619845 11.610634 27.974810
2025-10-19 1.747120 2.267317 3.037119 4.365156 6.900964 12.577378 33.315681
2025-10-26 1.710746 2.231532 3.009469 4.369641 7.022107 13.180941 37.743090
2025-11-02 1.661042 2.173934 2.944775 4.304456 6.993330 13.393374 40.559365
2025-11-09 1.605420 2.105687 2.860549 4.199720 6.872542 13.340412 42.001333
2025-11-16 1.562931 2.056118 2.804421 4.142658 6.848441 13.552076 45.203497
2025-11-23 1.542581 2.039570 2.800676 4.180430 7.032695 14.395974 53.497710